Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.727630 0.834420 0.950645 1.086427 1.240600 1.410113 1.610522
2024-12-29 0.573599 0.719207 0.891329 1.109361 1.377746 1.696858 2.104627
2025-01-05 0.446002 0.607584 0.813753 1.095068 1.467803 1.943505 2.595366
2025-01-12 0.362061 0.532797 0.766619 1.108260 1.592425 2.251358 3.213083
2025-01-19 0.287048 0.454354 0.699250 1.080721 1.656207 2.487316 3.772699
2025-01-26 0.246996 0.418016 0.684051 1.123283 1.824431 2.892493 4.632220
2025-02-02 0.218057 0.392753 0.680274 1.181170 2.023305 3.370130 5.669749
2025-02-09 0.186542 0.356641 0.652076 1.193694 2.150027 3.751149 6.608326
2025-02-16 0.159142 0.322052 0.619839 1.192746 2.252061 4.103320 7.545783
2025-02-23 0.137296 0.293261 0.592488 1.194951 2.358192 4.474223 8.562951
2025-03-02 0.118721 0.267060 0.565122 1.191789 2.452426 4.834065 9.605199
2025-03-09 0.106182 0.250755 0.554096 1.218139 2.605844 5.320983 10.944458
2025-03-16 0.092010 0.228418 0.527599 1.210088 2.692674 5.698195 12.136105
2025-03-23 0.082682 0.215217 0.518334 1.237160 2.856465 6.249812 13.750028
2025-03-30 0.071766 0.195937 0.492134 1.222385 2.928168 6.622561 15.046145
2025-04-06 0.064294 0.183667 0.479979 1.237768 3.069180 7.159979 16.762221
2025-04-13 0.055393 0.165715 0.450858 1.207637 3.100545 7.462028 18.002324
2025-04-20 0.051508 0.160619 0.453037 1.255280 3.324255 8.224644 20.376922
2025-04-27 0.048710 0.158031 0.461290 1.319862 3.599167 9.139985 23.218450
2025-05-04 0.044136 0.149170 0.451084 1.333939 3.748295 9.775518 25.474164
2025-05-11 0.039571 0.139307 0.436291 1.332986 3.858092 10.328956 27.598556
2025-05-18 0.035675 0.130687 0.423497 1.335506 3.977599 10.921504 29.893438
2025-05-25 0.032064 0.122177 0.409459 1.332034 4.080119 11.483354 32.178887